March 26, 2026
Many Consumer Companies’ Sales/Volumes Had Flatlined Pre-Iran War; Now What?
My sense from having recently spoken to a sample of U.S. box industry participants is that demand/volume trends didn’t get noticeably worse in March despite the dramatic rise in gasoline and diesel prices and its…
March 26, 2026
Hedge Fund Borrowing Reaches $7.4 Trillion, a New Record
I wrote in recent days (link) about record-high financial leverage, with large banks and their affiliated broker-dealers lending an enormous amount of money to hedge funds via repo to finance asset price speculation including the…
March 24, 2026
Where’s the Data on Banks’ Private Credit Exposure?
There’s been a great deal of attention on the private credit and business development company (BDC) industry of late for all the wrong reasons, among them rising withdrawal requests, capped withdrawals, falling net asset values,…
March 22, 2026
Speaking of Historically High and Rising Financial Leverage
I published a note last week on bank-enabled financial leverage, which is at record highs in many cases and which has been growing by the month even as the Federal Reserve noted in its most…
March 17, 2026
Takeaways from Recent Call with U.S. Boxmakers
I recently hosted a call with several privately held U.S. boxmakers, whose perspective often differs from that of the publicly traded containerboard producers. Among the topics discussed were (1) the impact or lack thereof of…
March 16, 2026
Concerned About Banks’ Exposure to Private Credit? How About to Broker-Dealers and Hedge Funds?
To my longtime readers, I’m back publishing on banking and consumer spending, as well as on paper & packaging. This note is on banking; the other topics will follow. Briefly regarding consumer spending, the BEA’s…