All Reports

Sakonnet Research provides independent analysis of economic, consumer and industry trends, with a focus on the factors affecting demand, pricing, costs and business performance.

Research is led by Adam Josephson, CFA and draws on economic data and industry analysis to provide practical insight into changing market conditions.

Explore the latest reports below. For questions about Sakonnet Research or its research coverage, contact us.

September 23, 2026

The Story’s the Same Across Retailers, Consumer Staples Companies and Housing Companies

By Adam Josephson

I wrote yesterday about AutoZone’s worse-than-expected domestic sales growth in its just-reported fiscal 4Q26, which was consistent with what many other large U.S. retailers reported in the second quarter (link). I also wrote that the…

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September 22, 2026

AutoZone The Latest Large U.S. Retailer to Miss on Sales

By Adam Josephson

The large auto parts retailer AutoZone missed on domestic same-store sales growth in its fiscal 4Q26 this morning (1.6% vs. FactSet consensus of 3.6%), the latest in a long line of large U.S. retailers to…

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September 19, 2026

Banks’ Asset Growth Has Been Going Almost Entirely to the Financial Sector Rather Than to the Real Economy

By Adam Josephson

I haven’t written about the composition of U.S. bank lending in a while because the trends haven’t changed: a disproportionate share of loan growth continues to come from loans to the financial sector, specifically nondepository…

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September 18, 2026

The Fed Finds That The U.S. Treasury Market Has Become Increasingly Price-Sensitive and Fragile

By Adam Josephson

I’ve written extensively about the fact that the U.S. Treasury market has become increasingly price-sensitive in recent years, most recently yesterday (link). That shift is evident in the ongoing decline of long-term Treasury prices/rise in…

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September 17, 2026

As Foreign Governments’ Treasury Holdings Continue to Shrink, Financial Centers’ Holdings Are Doing the Opposite

By Adam Josephson

The U.S. Treasury released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July yesterday (link), and the Financial Times reported in recapping the data that China’s U.S. Treasury holdings fell to their lowest level since August 2008…

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September 16, 2026

The Truck Driver Shortage is Biting Trucking Companies and Their Customers Alike; J.B. Hunt With an Unusual Profit Warning

By Adam Josephson

I’ve written in recent days/weeks about the intensifying truck driver shortage in the U.S. and the inflationary impact it’s having on consumer, packaging and other companies that use trucks, one of many sources of cost…

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September 15, 2026

Quotes from the Goldman Sachs Retail and Morgan Stanley Industrials Conferences

By Adam Josephson

I published a note with comments from consumer staples companies presenting at the Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference last week (link). This week are the Goldman Sachs Global Retailing and Morgan Stanley Laguna Industrials conferences,…

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September 15, 2026

On the Subject of Ballooning Margin Debt…

By Adam Josephson

I wrote yesterday afternoon about ballooning margin debt, one of the many indications of historically high financial leverage (link). As if on cue, Charles Schwab reported its monthly activity highlights this morning (link); its investors…

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September 14, 2026

Margin Debt Again Nearing $1.5 Trillion, Growing Wildly Disproportionately to the Economy

By Adam Josephson

In my note last evening on the repurchase agreement (repo) market and more broadly on ballooning financial leverage and the unusually loose terms on which that leverage is being provided (link), I mentioned the recent…

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September 13, 2026

Repo Loans, Get Your Repo Loans Here!

By Adam Josephson

I wrote a week ago about a piece in the Financial Times (link) that provided a history of the repurchase agreement (repo) market and highlighted its enormous importance in financial markets. The piece pointed out…

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September 12, 2026

Notable Comments from the Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference Last Week

By Adam Josephson

I wrote last week about consumer staples companies’ comments at the Barclays conference, particularly regarding demand weakness, rising/high oil prices and rising/high freight costs. Below are among the most eye-catching ones, in alphabetical order (all…

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September 11, 2026

The U.S. Government’s Exploding Interest Payments on its Debt

By Adam Josephson

The U.S. Treasury Department released its August statement, which is particularly relevant given falling long-term U.S. Treasury prices/rising yields and Treasury Secretary Bessent’s numerous unsuccessful attempts to cap/reduce long-term yields. The federal budget deficit hit…

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September 11, 2026

The Ratio of Household Net Worth to Disposable Income Hits a Record High

By Adam Josephson

The Federal Reserve (Fed) just published its quarterly Financial Accounts of the United States (Z.1), formerly known as the Flow of Funds (link). Unsurprisingly given that the U.S. stock market keeps hitting new highs while…

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September 11, 2026

Real Earnings Continue to Barely Grow

By Adam Josephson

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported this morning that real (inflation-adjusted) average weekly earnings were up 0.2% sequentially and 0.3% YoY in August. Since just before COVID (a period of six and a…

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September 11, 2026

Kroger Cuts its Full-Year Sales Guidance, Just as Albertsons Did in Late July

By Adam Josephson

Kroger, one of the five largest U.S. retailers by sales, missed consensus on identical sales ex-fuel in 2Q26 (0.2% vs. StreetAccount of 0.8%) and cut its full-year identical sales ex-fuel guidance for the second time…

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