All Reports

April 9, 2026

Yet Another Consumer Company With Sales Problems

By Adam Josephson

I’ve written extensively about the chronic sales weakness among a wide range of consumer-related companies, and that weakness predated the Iran war. Just last week, Nike and RH guided to current quarter sales well below…

Read More >>

April 6, 2026

What Are the Underlying Reasons for the Private Credit Mess?

By Adam Josephson

The latest in a long line of bombshells pertaining to the private credit industry occurred last week when Blue Owl disclosed that investors wanted to redeem more than 20% of shares from its $36 billion…

Read More >>

March 31, 2026

Yet More Consumer Company Sales Weakness

By Adam Josephson

I wrote yesterday about the numerous problems that consumer staples companies and other consumer-related companies are having (link). Today brought plenty more of the same. McCormick: Reported its lowest organic sales growth rate (1.2%) since…

Read More >>

March 30, 2026

Staples Companies’ Dilemma

By Adam Josephson

My last note was about the chronic weakness in U.S. discretionary spending over the past two years owing to several factors including the cumulative effects of high inflation, lack of real income growth post-pandemic, sharp…

Read More >>

March 26, 2026

Many Consumer Companies’ Sales/Volumes Had Flatlined Pre-Iran War; Now What?

By Adam Josephson

My sense from having recently spoken to a sample of U.S. box industry participants is that demand/volume trends didn’t get noticeably worse in March despite the dramatic rise in gasoline and diesel prices and its…

Read More >>

March 26, 2026

Hedge Fund Borrowing Reaches $7.4 Trillion, a New Record

By Adam Josephson

I wrote in recent days (link) about record-high financial leverage, with large banks and their affiliated broker-dealers lending an enormous amount of money to hedge funds via repo to finance asset price speculation including the…

Read More >>

March 24, 2026

Where’s the Data on Banks’ Private Credit Exposure?

By Adam Josephson

There’s been a great deal of attention on the private credit and business development company (BDC) industry of late for all the wrong reasons, among them rising withdrawal requests, capped withdrawals, falling net asset values,…

Read More >>

March 22, 2026

Speaking of Historically High and Rising Financial Leverage

By Adam Josephson

I published a note last week on bank-enabled financial leverage, which is at record highs in many cases and which has been growing by the month even as the Federal Reserve noted in its most…

Read More >>

March 17, 2026

Takeaways from Recent Call with U.S. Boxmakers

By Adam Josephson

I recently hosted a call with several privately held U.S. boxmakers, whose perspective often differs from that of the publicly traded containerboard producers. Among the topics discussed were (1) the impact or lack thereof of…

Read More >>

March 16, 2026

Concerned About Banks’ Exposure to Private Credit? How About to Broker-Dealers and Hedge Funds?

By Adam Josephson

To my longtime readers, I’m back publishing on banking and consumer spending, as well as on paper & packaging. This note is on banking; the other topics will follow. Briefly regarding consumer spending, the BEA’s…

Read More >>