April 9, 2026
I’ve written extensively about the chronic sales weakness among a wide range of consumer-related companies, and that weakness predated the Iran war. Just last week, Nike and RH guided to current quarter sales well below…
April 6, 2026
The latest in a long line of bombshells pertaining to the private credit industry occurred last week when Blue Owl disclosed that investors wanted to redeem more than 20% of shares from its $36 billion…
March 31, 2026
I wrote yesterday about the numerous problems that consumer staples companies and other consumer-related companies are having (link). Today brought plenty more of the same. McCormick: Reported its lowest organic sales growth rate (1.2%) since…
March 30, 2026
My last note was about the chronic weakness in U.S. discretionary spending over the past two years owing to several factors including the cumulative effects of high inflation, lack of real income growth post-pandemic, sharp…
March 26, 2026
My sense from having recently spoken to a sample of U.S. box industry participants is that demand/volume trends didn’t get noticeably worse in March despite the dramatic rise in gasoline and diesel prices and its…
March 26, 2026
I wrote in recent days (link) about record-high financial leverage, with large banks and their affiliated broker-dealers lending an enormous amount of money to hedge funds via repo to finance asset price speculation including the…
March 24, 2026
There’s been a great deal of attention on the private credit and business development company (BDC) industry of late for all the wrong reasons, among them rising withdrawal requests, capped withdrawals, falling net asset values,…
March 22, 2026
I published a note last week on bank-enabled financial leverage, which is at record highs in many cases and which has been growing by the month even as the Federal Reserve noted in its most…
March 17, 2026
I recently hosted a call with several privately held U.S. boxmakers, whose perspective often differs from that of the publicly traded containerboard producers. Among the topics discussed were (1) the impact or lack thereof of…
March 16, 2026
To my longtime readers, I’m back publishing on banking and consumer spending, as well as on paper & packaging. This note is on banking; the other topics will follow. Briefly regarding consumer spending, the BEA’s…