All Reports

Sakonnet Research provides independent analysis of economic, consumer and industry trends, with a focus on the factors affecting demand, pricing, costs and business performance.

Research is led by Adam Josephson, CFA and draws on economic data and industry analysis to provide practical insight into changing market conditions.

Explore the latest reports below. For questions about Sakonnet Research or its research coverage, contact us.

September 14, 2026

Margin Debt Again Nearing $1.5 Trillion, Growing Wildly Disproportionately to the Economy

By Adam Josephson

In my note last evening on the repurchase agreement (repo) market and more broadly on ballooning financial leverage and the unusually loose terms on which that leverage is being provided (link), I mentioned the recent…

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September 13, 2026

Repo Loans, Get Your Repo Loans Here!

By Adam Josephson

I wrote a week ago about a piece in the Financial Times (link) that provided a history of the repurchase agreement (repo) market and highlighted its enormous importance in financial markets. The piece pointed out…

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September 12, 2026

Notable Comments from the Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference Last Week

By Adam Josephson

I wrote last week about consumer staples companies’ comments at the Barclays conference, particularly regarding demand weakness, rising/high oil prices and rising/high freight costs. Below are among the most eye-catching ones, in alphabetical order (all…

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September 11, 2026

The U.S. Government’s Exploding Interest Payments on its Debt

By Adam Josephson

The U.S. Treasury Department released its August statement, which is particularly relevant given falling long-term U.S. Treasury prices/rising yields and Treasury Secretary Bessent’s numerous unsuccessful attempts to cap/reduce long-term yields. The federal budget deficit hit…

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September 11, 2026

The Ratio of Household Net Worth to Disposable Income Hits a Record High

By Adam Josephson

The Federal Reserve (Fed) just published its quarterly Financial Accounts of the United States (Z.1), formerly known as the Flow of Funds (link). Unsurprisingly given that the U.S. stock market keeps hitting new highs while…

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September 11, 2026

Real Earnings Continue to Barely Grow

By Adam Josephson

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported this morning that real (inflation-adjusted) average weekly earnings were up 0.2% sequentially and 0.3% YoY in August. Since just before COVID (a period of six and a…

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September 11, 2026

Kroger Cuts its Full-Year Sales Guidance, Just as Albertsons Did in Late July

By Adam Josephson

Kroger, one of the five largest U.S. retailers by sales, missed consensus on identical sales ex-fuel in 2Q26 (0.2% vs. StreetAccount of 0.8%) and cut its full-year identical sales ex-fuel guidance for the second time…

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September 10, 2026

Procter & Gamble on Inflation

By Adam Josephson

Yet another large consumer staples company, this time Procter & Gamble, commented on inflationary pressures this morning. The company noted that oil prices are $12.50/barrel higher than what’s embedded in its fiscal year 2027 earnings…

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September 10, 2026

Packaging Companies Are Experiencing Demand Weakness and Freight and Commodity Cost Inflation Just as Are Consumer Staples Companies

By Adam Josephson

This morning brought updates from several U.S. packaging companies presenting at a large industrials conference; their message was much the same as what we heard from the large consumer conference taking place this week. Sonoco…

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September 9, 2026

A Buyback So Big Treasury Prices Fell Further in Response

By Adam Josephson

The U.S. Treasury Department said it will purchase up to $6 billion of long-term Treasurys in the first operation of its expanded buyback program, triple the amount initially communicated to investors. The announcement so impressed…

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September 9, 2026

Explaining Spot vs. Contract Freight Rates

By Adam Josephson

General Mills said yesterday it thinks its full-year cost inflation could be at the upper end of its previous 4-5% guidance, partly because of rapidly rising freight costs. The company said its logistics costs are…

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September 9, 2026

Kimberly-Clark the Latest Large Consumer Staples Company to Warn on Freight and Other Problems

By Adam Josephson

At the same consumer conference at which Constellation Brands yesterday warned on higher U.S. trucking costs and some commodity cost pressures and General Mills noted that its (spot) logistics costs are up about 40% vs….

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September 8, 2026

T-Bills at Their Highest Share of U.S. Treasurys Outstanding Since Early 2021

By Adam Josephson

I’ve written extensively about the U.S. Treasury Department’s growing reliance on short-term bills to fund its yawning deficits, and that was before Treasury Secretary Bessent’s increased buyback announcement and other floated tactics in recent weeks…

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September 8, 2026

General Mills With More Eye-Opening Comments on Freight Inflation

By Adam Josephson

On the same day that Constellation Brands’ comments about higher U.S. trucking costs and some commodity cost pressures sent its stock down 5.6% (link), General Mills commented on the same topics, and the theme was…

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